Comparing Realclearpolitics vs Fivethirtyeight polling averages …
Aug 18, 2021 · Think of an instagram picture. The more filters you put on it, the less detailed the image becomes. So when 538 are applies algorithms to the polls to make them more accurate than the poll itself, they are just adding statistical noise. Even if 538's numbers are more correct in 2024, it is because a broken clock is right twice a day.
What was your single favorite episode of the 538 Politics ... - Reddit
Oct 29, 2023 · the election night one where Trump won was particularly memorable. Especially if you listen to it after/before hearing the NYT's politics podcast recorded literally as Trump is announced the winner. Nate is sleep deprived and is repeating how the model predicted this and everyone underrated Trump's chances. NYT react like it was a million to ...
What your opinion on the 538 Politics podcast sans Nate Silver?
What your opinion on the 538 Politics podcast sans Nate Silver? News & Current Affairs. Its been a while now since Nate (and his model) left 538. Since then I have noticed a pretty big shift in the show. I listen to a bunch of politics podcasts, and 538's niche previously was that it was data driven. Mathematics was what drove the discussions.
American political discussion per the 538 Politics Podcast - Reddit
Jan 10, 2020 - 538 Politics Podcast: The Primary Forecast Is Live, And ‘Model Talk’ Returns
538 VS Real Clear Politics polling average : r/fivethirtyeight - Reddit
Oct 18, 2020 · Fivethirtyeight weights polls based on past performance and methodology. And they also include polls from over two weeks ago, but their weighting depends on the quality and quantity of recent polling. TL;DR: RCP only averages polls over the last two weeks. Fivethirtyeight uses fancy math to make their best guess based on available polling. 34.
Is New Hampshire the end of the GOP primary? | 538 Politics …
Jan 23, 2024 · 20K subscribers in the fivethirtyeight community. Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight delivers analysis of politics from campaign fundraising to election…
538 & Real clear politics, Ohio 2024 Senate race polling. Brown ...
538 & Real clear politics, Ohio 2024 Senate race polling. Brown currently leads by an average of 5% points against Moreno.
538 drops Rasmussen Reports from its analysis : r/politics - Reddit
538 drops Rasmussen Reports from its analysis. Moderator Announcement Read More ». Years overdue. On behalf of the group College Republicans United, Rasmussen asked Arizona voters who they voted for in Lake’s race and, after weighting the results to exit polls — which is unusual — declared that, contrary to the certified tally, Kari Lake ...
Do you trust 538 or Real Clear Politics more for election ... - Reddit
Aug 30, 2020 · I trust 538 more. 538 is a data site that features politics; RCP is a politics site that features data. Not saying RCP is wrong necessarily, but if there is a discrepency between the two I will trust 538 first. 538 also rates and weights pollsters based on their methodology and historical performance; as far as i know RCP does not do this.
538's polls policy and FAQs : r/fivethirtyeight - Reddit
Nov 27, 2023 · Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight delivers analysis of politics from campaign fundraising to election day and beyond. Members Online How popular Biden and Trump in Nov 21 2023.